Sunday, October 02, 2005

Can the Oilers repeat their scoring from 2003/4?

In the 2003/4 season the Oilers finished 9th overall in GF.

Here is a list of the Oilers about to play the upcoming season (assuming Schremp, Syvret, and D.Smith are sent out)



Forwards that had a career high in goals (brackets are next best year) in 2003/4:

Pisani - 16 (8)
Horcoff - 15 (12)
Torres - 20 (0)
Hemsky - 12 (6)
Moreau - 20 (17)
Stoll - 10 (10) * rookie*

Forwards without a career year (brackets represents career high):

Smyth - 23 (39)
Laraque - 6 (13)
Dvorak - 15 (31)
Reasoner - 2 (11)
Rita - 0 (3)
Harvey - 4 (11)
Peca - 11 (27)
Winchester - ROOKIE

Defensemen that had a career high in goals (brackets are next best year) in 2003/4:

Bergeron - 9 (1)
Cross - 7 (4)
Smith - 7 (5)
Semenov - 2 (1)
Ulanov - 5 (3)
Pronger - 14 (14)

Defensemen without a career year (brackets represents career high):

Staios - 6 (9)

In terms of incoming vs. outgoing regulars:

the Oilers have lost the following goals:

Oates - 2
York - 16
Brewer - 7
Isbister - 10
Chimera - 4
Ferguson - 1
Sarno - 1

for a total of 41 goals lost

And have brought in:

Peca - 11
Pronger - 14
Harvey - 4

With Peca more or less taking York's time, Pronger Brewer's, and Harvey Chimera's. That leaves the Oilers 11 goals shy of last season, with some forwards having to pick up the ice time of Isbister and Oates.

Can they score as many this year?

1 comment:

sacamano said...

No question they can. Keep in mind, the Oilers were actually 6th in 5on5 scoring and only dropped to 9th because of their abysmal powerplay. Even if they get an average powerplay their goals will go up.

I think Pisani will be getting more ice time and so will get somewhere around the same numbers. Horcoff should be able to beat 15. Hemsky will crush 12. Stoll will get a few more than 10 if he is on the powerplay. Moreau and Torres are the only real question marks. K-Lowe and Mac-T seem to think that Moreau will have a big year.

In your next group, I bet Smytty & D-Vo are are about the same, but Laraque gets more, Reasoner and Rita obviously get more, Peca gets way more with the increased icetime, and Harvey and Winchester get whatever they get.

I really don't know about the d-men, but I can't see anything changing really big there, just the goals shifted around.